Enjoying the Calm Before the Storm
One doesn’t expect to be thrust into the world of the Breeders’ Cup on an October morning at Saratoga, but my wife and I were treated to a special surprise during our off-season visit recently. ~ Steve Haskin
Enjoying the Calm Before the Storm
By Steve Haskin
It is October on the Oklahoma training track in Saratoga. A small number of horses are still training against a backdrop of color from the hints of fall foliage along the frontside of the track. Those who reside year-round in their homes on Fifth Avenue that back right up to the backstretch can hear the sound of horses’ hooves outside their back windows at the crack of dawn each morning as if it is the middle of August. Most mornings are bright without a cloud in the sky, and there is a sense of solitude, with few onlookers along the rail and only a small amount of horses getting in their final days of training before the early November closing of the track for the year.
The Saratoga meet is long gone, but there is still something magical about these final days sitting on your back porch with a cup of hot coffee to warm the autumn chill, as horses, feeling good in the crisp mountain air, go about their morning training and then walk right past your back gate on their way back to the barn just as they did in droves from mid-July to early September.
The vast majority of barns are empty, as are a number of the homes on Fifth Avenue that are occupied only during the race meeting. My wife and I are in Saratoga visiting our friends, the Freedbergs, who are up for several days selling five weanlings at the Fasig-Tipton fall mixed sale.
This is a world far removed from the activity some 3,000 miles away at Santa Anita, where Breeders’ Cup activity is beginning to pick up, with several top horses from the east, including Classic favorites Arcangelo and White Abarrio, already there and working for the big race.
But this October is no ordinary one on the Oklahoma backstretch. About 150 yards from our back gate is Bill Mott’s barn, which actually is a major Breeders’ Cup hot spot this year. Mott, whose permanent residence is in Saratoga, brought his horses up here from Belmont Park to train before shipping to California on October 25. We’re not talking about a few nice horses. To us this was our Breeders’ Cup as we enjoyed the intimacy of spending quiet time with the favorite for the Dirt Mile (Cody’s Wish), possible favorite for the Sprint (Elite Power), and major contenders for the Turf (War Like Goddess), Mile (Casa Creed), Juvenile Fillies (Just F Y I), and Juvenile Fillies Turf (Gala Brand). His final horse is Caramel Swirl, who won the recent Grade 2 Gallant Bloom Stakes on a rare double disqualification. It was a bit surreal seing only two horses, Cody’s Wish and War Like Goddess, waking past the Freedbergs’ back gate (see top photo).
Left to Right, War Like Goddess, Elite Power, Cody’s Wish.
Cody’s Wish and Elite Power will be looking for back-to-back Breeders’ Cup victories, while War Like Goddess, winner of the last two runnings of the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic against the boys, will be looking to improve off her unlucky third-place finishes in the last two Breeders’ Cup Turfs. The tough as nails 7-year-old Casa Creed should be a force in the Mile coming off his second straight victory in the Grade 1 Fourstardave Stakes at Saratoga. And if anyone can knock off the undefeated Tamara in the Juvenile Fillies it could be Just F Y I after her impressive score in the Grade 1 Frizette Stakes. Gala Brand could be tough if she runs back to her victory against the boys in the Grade 3 With Anticipation Stakes.
So you can say Mott is loaded this year. But you would never guess it. Never one to engage in braggadocio or boast about the strength of his horses, Bill converses with you, sometimes about subjects other than racing and it has never been just about press and trainer in all the years I have known him.
Bill and I go back to the early ‘90s when I would bring my daughter Mandy to the barn to visit horses like Paradise Creek and Fraise. In 1996 I flew overnight from the Eclipse Awards dinner in San Diego to Fort Lauderdale on owner Allen Paulson’s private jet to see Cigar’s 6-year-old debut in the Donn Handicap. On the plane were Paulson, his wife Madeleine, their dog Oliver, Bill and his wife Tina, Jerry Bailey and his wife Suzee and my esteemed colleague and mentor Joe Hirsch. I remember Bill saying to me after we took off in his typical dry sense of humor, “Well, what do you think, Steve? This is a tough assignment, but I guess somebody’s gotta do it.”
A few months later I found myself spending mornings with Bill at Nad al Sheba Racetrack in Dubai for the inaugural running of the Dubai World Cup. No one had a clue about Cigar’s foot problems that he was dealing with. But Cigar came through with a gutsy victory and the Dubai World Cup was here to stay
All through 1996 my wife and I would bring Mandy to Bill’s barn to visit Cigar. One of my prized photos is of Mandy, Bill, and Cigar, as well as the one of Mandy, me and Cigar that Bill insisted on taking. On one visit, Bill put Mandy up on his pony and led her around the shed row and up and down the path outside the barn.
Later that year I was at Cigar’s emotional farewell at of all places the National Horse Show at Madison Square Garden. After the speeches, Jerry Bailey dismounted and Cigar was led around the arena by Bill, as a flurry of flashbulbs popped all around the Garden. Bill turned the horse over to assistant Tim Jones, who continued to lead him around. Then the lights in the arena went dark, and a single spotlight shone down on Cigar. When a solitary trumpet began playing “Auld Lang Syne,” I have to admit I lost it. Soon after, the entire band joined in, adding to the emotional impact and ending the proceedings with a flourish. Standing on the floor of the arena in the dark, I tried to wipe away the tears before the lights came back on. When they did, I turned around, and almost everyone in the Garden was wiping their eyes.
I also have to mention that in all my years in racing I have never seen a more gracious loser than Bill. I will never forget being back at the barn with him following Cigar’s heartbreaking defeat in the Breeders’ Cup Classic in his career finale.
Moments earlier, Cigar had walked off the track for the last time. Shafts of light beamed down on him from an amber sky, creating a setting that was meant for a triumphant farewell. But Cigar’s weary legs and cracked feet, that had carried him some 25,000 miles across the United Stakes and to Dubai, could not carry him those final few inches.
Back at the barn, Cigar stood facing the back of his stall, as if he knew he had lost. Allen and Madeleine Paulson stopped by for a final visit before heading off to dinner, but Bill remained. For several minutes, he stared almost hypnotically into Cigar’s stall. When he spoke, his voice couldn’t hide the emotions that were obviously building up inside him. This was no time to be dwelling on defeats or having any regrets that Cigar’s career did not end in triumph.
“There’s nothing I can say about Cigar that can tell you how I feel about him and the whole experience,” Mott said in a quiet monotone voice. “There’s no reason that getting beat a short head would make me feel any differently about him. I’d be pretty damn greedy if I did or if I had any ill feelings about anything. When we decided to run him again this year I knew as a trainer that trying to have a repeat year was going to be a tough task come Breeders’ Cup time. He just lost that little step, that little turn of foot, and that’s been the difference. Before, he could have overcome having to go five-wide. Today, he just couldn’t…he couldn’t overcome it.”
Just then, 82-year-old Georgia Ridder, owner of the victorious Alphabet Soup, came over to Bill, who congratulated her.
She replied, “Congratulations on the greatest horse of many years. It was just our luck today.”
“Well, you had a good day and I’m happy for you,” Bill said. “I hope you have many many more.”
In 1999 on the morning of the Belmont Stakes, I was with Bill as he sat atop his pony outside his barn reflecting on the big race. Bill had never won the Belmont, or any jewel in the Triple Crown for that matter, but he was hoping to fill that one major void in his Hall of Fame career. “When it’s ready to happen, it’ll happen,” he said. “It’s only a problem if I let it bother me. Naturally, I have a desire to win one of these races.” Later that day, Bill’s horse Vision and Verse, a 54-1 shot, was beaten an agonizing head by 29-1 shot Lemon Drop Kid.
It was 11 years later on Belmont morning that Bill again sat on his pony in the exact same spot outside his barn reflecting on his dubious record in the Spring classics. But this time was different. Bill felt, as he put it, “strangely relaxed” as he eyed a handsome chestnut colt walking past him into the barn. WinStar Farm’s Drosselmeyer had just stretched his legs with a solid gallop around the training track, and Bill couldn’t help but feel confident. But, as far as winning his first Triple Crown race, he wasn’t going to dwell on things he had no control over.
“If it’s meant to be, it’s meant to be,” Bill said. “All I can do is keep trying. If it’s not this year I’ll try again next year. That’s the beauty of this game.”
There was no need to wait for next year, as Bill won the Belmont later that day with Drosselmeyer. It did not change him in the slightest. Decades in New York have not abated the trainer’s humbleness and South Dakota values. The popularity of the Belmont result was evident by the number of congratulations directed at Bill as he walked through the crowd and eventually back to the barn. When he looked at his cell phone he turned around and smiled that sheepish smile. “Seventy-eight text messages,” he said. When he checked again at the barn, it was up to 101. Lee Einsidler, who had horses back then with Bill and now has Casa Creed, said, “This was one for the good guys.”
But the Belmont victory was short-lived. Drosselmeyer did not run again that year and was a disappointment the following year and Bill’s exciting 2-year-old filly Royal Delta wasn’t fulfilling the promise she showed when she blew away a maiden field by 12 lengths in her career debut. Bill was discouraged, but then things began to turn around when Royal Delta won the Alabama by 5 1/2 lengths and Drosselmeyer began to return to form. It all culminated in the Breeders’ Cup when Bill won the Distaff with Royal Delta and the Classic with Drosselmeyer at odds of 14-1.
Afterwards he thought back to those winter months and said, “Early in the year we couldn’t win. The horses were running poorly in Florida, and Elliott (Walden of WinStar Farm) called one day and asked me, ‘Are you OK?’ He was concerned because I’m sure he knew we were trying, but things just weren’t going well; everything was going wrong, like To Honor and Serve running two disappointing races and then having to be put on the shelf. But, again, this business, like life, just turns around and here we are winning two of biggest races of the year on the same weekend.”
And finally there were all those mornings at the Oklahoma training track over the years, discussing everything from the state of racing to his feelings about winning the 2019 Kentucky Derby with 65-1 shot Country House, who became the first horse in history to be awarded the Derby victory on a steward’s disqualification.
So now here we are on an October morning in 2023, with Bill preparing to head to California still feeling the effects of a recent hip replacement. In a few days the media will converge on his barn at Santa Anita looking not only for quotes and background on his contenders, but the human interest stories behind several of them. And yet here we were having these magnificent horses all to ourselves on a brisk autumn morning in the tranquil setting that is Saratoga in October.
The following morning I wished Bill good luck and safe travels and headed back home to Connecticut. In an era of top horses being retired at 3 and fewer and fewer star older horses Bill remains one of the true old school trainers who knows how to keep horses going strong for many years. He heads to the Breeders’ Cup with two 2-year-olds, three 5-year-olds, a 6-year-old, and a 7-year-old. And he recently retired his old warrior Channel Maker, who won the Grade 2 Bowling Green Stakes this year at the age of 9.
As if that wasn’t enough of a Breeders’ Cup fix, on the opposite side of Bill’s barn are the horses trained by Christophe Clement. Among them are Breeders’ Cup hopefuls Big Invasion (Turf Sprint), winner of six stakes, and Carson’s Run (Juvenile Turf). Standing outside Clement’s barn with assistant trainer Miguel Clement were Dean and Patti Reeves, owners of Big Invasion, who also were up for the sale. “Big Invasion is doing great,” Dean said. “Both Miguel and Christophe are really happy with how he’s doing.”
Carson’s Run, winner of the Grade 1 Summer Stakes at Woodbine and owned by West Point Thoroughbreds, will get his share of publicity, being named after Carson Yost, who suffers from the same genetic disorder as Cody Dorman, for whom Cody’s Wish was named.
So, here were nine Breeders’ Cup horses stabled close to each other just a stone’s throw from “our” house, training over what was as close to their own private track as any trainer could ask for. Several people have asked me if I’m going to the Breeders’ Cup this year. I can now answer them succinctly, “I’ve been.”
Photos courtesy of Steve Haskin, Breeders’ Cup Archive, and Saratoga Daily Gazette.
Racing historian, author, and award-winning retired journalist for the Daily Racing Form and The Blood-Horse, Steve Haskin was inducted into the National Museum of Racing Hall of Fame’s Media Roll of Honor in 2016. Known for his racing knowledge and insightful prose, he has been an exclusive contributor to Secretariat.com since 2020.
Without even realizing it, I always thought of Saratoga as perpetual summer because that’s the only way I ever saw it. I live in Vermont and I know very well about the different seasons in this part of the country. But when I saw a Barbara Livingston photograph of the track in winter, I felt a moment of shock because I couldn’t imagine the place being snowed in. Similarly, I never thought much about Saratoga in autumn. But your excellent column made me want to think a lot about it. The peace and beauty you describe would make anyone want to go there in autumn, and the thought of great thoroughbreds working out almost in your backyard is mind-boggling. I wish you many happy mornings watching them.
Friday Breeders Cup
Juvenile – This is basically (IMHO) between Muth and Noted.
Juvenile Fillies – Tamara
Juvenile Turf Sprint – Dreamfyre and No Nay Mets
Juvenile Turf – Tibre River and Mountain Bear.
Air Recruit probably best chance for America
Juvenile Fillies Turf – The Justify progeny are red hot on turf in Europe. This is hard one for me to call.
Possible changes after post positions.
This is based on pre-entries, final field not set of fourse.
No word yet on Geaux Rocket Ride.
Report popped up on Blood Horse about an hour ago that he was having joint fusion surgery to stabilize the leg. If I am not mistaken that is dame surgery that Echo Zulu and the Player had.
He is being a good patient, laying down a lot to take weight off the injured leg.
Practical Move 8-1 works for me….Tamara will be even …. Clairiere 5-1 looks good, so does Arizona bred Desert Dawn, around 30-1 thank you very much! The Breeders Cup–where you only need to be right once or twice, to go home with fat pockets!…
If youre right once or twice and wrong 12 or 13 times you better hit some real bombs.
I’ll be shocked if Tamara goes off at even money at post time. I’d guess around 3/5.
I would like to apologize for my comment about Getoix Rocket Ride.
This is not an excuse but rather an explanation.
There have been 3 highly stressful situations to arise in the course of 5 days. The third one was the result of a letter that I received along with several others on Saturday.
I had taken a break from conversations with my neighbors and came to this site and saw almost immediately the post about Geroux Rocket Ride. I honestly did not realize how serious the inner sesamoid ligament damage was.
Last evening I read what Mr Mandella has said.
Geroux Rocket Ride has a chance to survive this because of Mike’s quick thinking.
Lynda, I’m obviously not Steve, but no need to apologize — at least not to me. In my comment below, I had changed “potentially fatal” to “serious”, without noting that it’s the risk of infection that’s often fatal. I agree this is a very dicey situation for the horse.
I hope your stressful situations resolve soon!
Thank you MsB. Drama seen to come in threes in my life.
Hopefully smooth sailing ahead for awhile on at least two of the situations.
I dont know what youre apolozing for.
I have mixed feelings about GRR. Not wanting to siund like Debbie Downer, but things are just not looking up .Guess we will know more after the surgery. Hopefully there will be something positive.
Mage is out. Soiked a fever, did not clean up his food last night.
On a positive note, Equinox won! If you get a chance watch a replay of the race.
I have said this many times before they need to find a way to get the tractors and water trucks off the dirt racing surfaces. I feel they are leaving ruts under the surfaces.
Heavy farm equipment can pack the soil and the sub surface
I know this from being raised on a farm. My Dad called it the ” pan”.
Is that what is happening on these old dirt tracks? Not for me to say, not a race track “engineer”.
Weather extremes can make it worse (heavy rains followed by drought conditions).
Do not know about the West Coast. Here on the Esst Coast we had heavy rains for weeks from January to late Spring, then a period of drought.
Most likely winner of a race on BC Friday, Endlessly (BC Juvenile Turf, 1 Mile).
Most likely winner of a race on BC Saturday, Gina Romantica, (BC 1 mile Turf).
Just my opinion.
Geaux Rocket Ride injured a foreleg; out of the Breeders Cup Classic. Extent of injury is unknown until they do X-rays. What a shame!
It’s bad..
Open condylar fracture and ligament damage. At Mandlla’s barn. Discussing next steps
DRF reports surgery will be done tomorrow at a clinic on the track grounds. So sad this happened.
Steve, that’s just awful. Open fractures in horses are very serious.
All fractures are serious of course.
An open condylar is not as serious as fractures of the sesamoids.
The surgery is often performed while the horse is standing. Plate and two screws.
Recovery usually 90 days.
Caused by high speeds which put stress on the bone.
Some horses can return to performance, however in the case of GRR, he will probably be retired which be in the colt’s best interest.
Just got on social media and saw this.
I picked him to be in top 3 in thd Classic.
Prayers for a successful surgery and recovery.
Infection is the big concern.
Uh oh… an open condylar fracture with ligament damage sounds all too much like the kind of injury the best vet surgeons repair only to watch their work get ruined by recovery stress, colic, or laminitis– a la Ruffian, St. Nicholas’ Abbey, and Barbaro. Some do horses do survive bad breakdowns, like Mill Reef, but so many don’t.
What a Cox Plate, fantastic finish, Romantic Warrior wins!! Tears of joy a’plenty here. Hong Kong connections win.
Cant wait to watch it.
Interesting pedigree note . His sire has these two names in his pedigree….Sassafras andorenzaccio. The only two horses to defeat Nijinsky.
Oops Lorenzaccio
Steve, those two defeats of Nijinsky were absolute shocks at the time especially after Nijinsky had won the English Triple Crown. The Coolmore lads think City of Troy can do the same, then ‘possibly’ off to Saratoga for the Travers Stakes. What a buzz that would be? Racing is all about dreams.
David’s Tonight is the Cox Plate, Ollie’s final— Damien Oliver not as well known, in the States, is an all-time great rider..hanging things up…
Just saw Tom Kitten, what a big beautiful runner! At Randwick….Monster win….
Matthew did you watch the Manikato Stakes, Imperatriz was brilliant!! The wind is ferocious here.
David’s I’m in SoCal, we’re getting the ferocious Santa Ana Winds on Sunday and Monday, good thing they didn’t come next weekend….too bad Geaux Rocket Ride won’t be going ..
Terrible news about Geaux Rocket Ride, let’s hope for the best. Good news about the Santa Ana winds though. Of course, it’s as still as a grave here today. No hay fever.
Do you think they will add more sand for the Breeders’ Cup races now?
I dont know…thats two bad breakdowns in BC works….
Who was the other one?
Echo Zulu
I remembered as soon as I posted the comment. Tks
Thanks Matthew, I appreciate the information you are able to offer us. Fingers crossed everything goes well during the Breeders’ Cup races.
Santa Ana Winds ext two days will clean the air for next weekend! Euros arrived yesterday, will be on the turf Tuesday …three notable horses that have looked good on the track–Clairiere, Practical Move, Arabian Knight have looked good ..
I’ve been watching Breakfast at the Breeders’ Cup the past two days which is fun to watch but it’s nothing like being there. It’ll be interesting having a look at the European horses who are going from a cold Autumn to a warm California.
I thought White Abarrio has looked good as well but agree with you especially, Arabian Knight.
Steve : Another in a long line of great columns. As a long-time Summer Saratogian whose track job was Gone with the Pandemic, I must say I’m envious of such a great, and well-deserved, couple of days with Bill and his BC contenders.
Buzz
Thanks so much Buzz. I appreciate it.
Golden Pal’s first book was 293!….Second highest book was Epicenter….Man O War’s first book was 15….
Golden Pal sounds like a Cal bred name, with Best Pal being a product of Golden Eagle Farm…
Golden Pal was bred in Florida, owned by Coolmore and trained by Aesley Ward.
The top 5 stallions with the biggest books for 2023 all stand at Coolmore.
Oh yeah I knew that….it just seems like a Golden Eagle name ..
Golden Pal was a great race horse. I don’t think there’s a patent on the word “Golden”.
Jess’s Dream (Curlin out of Rachel Alexandra) retired from stud, gelded and will be trained as a track pony at the Ocala Training Center.
In his brief career at stud he did sire winners. Was top ranked in Florida and Southeast.
Thank you Stonestreet for giving him a chance at a third career.
Paddington out of BC due to fever. Retired to stand at Coolmore.
Just read on another blog, Go Rocket Ride was pulled up by Mike Smith breezing this morning @ SA. Hear anything about this?
White Abarrio worked this AM…looked awesome…can he duplicate his Whitney form? Some good horses put up huge performances, Quack 72 Hollywood Gold Cup….Frosted Met Mile….Beholder Pacific Classic…as good as they were they never quite ran another race like that, so there’s that, but Whitey looked pretty solid this morning..
Watched a brief clip last night of Derma Sotogake on the track.
He is really up on his toes and looks fabulous.
Might just do better than anyone is expecting.
First start in six months..
Do not mean to sound flip but Flightline had 6 months between of his races and 5 months between two others.
Not flip…. you’re correct…..19 lengths first time two turns v gr1 horses…Flightline would win this race! Now Derma …..
White Abarrio does look fantastic, the 10f is the only question.
Mike Repole’s ‘New Alliance’ is one of the best things I’ve read to save US racing in decades. Best of luck, let’s hope it grows shoots.
I just sent him a long email wishing him good luck.
Steve, Mike Rapole seems the right man at the right time. He has the drive, energy, and knows racing from every angle.
I too wish Mr Repole much success in his new venture.
I do hope he takes time to get input from people like you and the racing fans and not be totally dependent on the “professionals”.
I give Repole a lot of credit for taking this issue on! I sure hope he makes some headway in making the sport stronger and better!
Kudos to Mr. Repole and the people he will be working with!
Davids — me too! Someone with clout has to try to get the powers that be in racing to talk to each other seriously. I especially mean the track managers, many of whom are too high and mighty for my taste. (Except in New York, where they are at the mercy of state politicians.)
Ms Blacktype, that’s exactly right and the constant conflict and bickering steals away the headlines from the success of the horses. It’s the horses/jockeys that draw in the fans initially while the punters keep the sport afloat.
Dittos to all the comments above about Mr Repole and the New Alliance he is forming and wishing nothing but success in this important endeavor.
Looks as though it’s going to be a beautiful day here in Melbourne for the Cox Plate, around 75f, while the track conditions should be perfect. Sometimes the wind at Moonee Valley can spring up to a fierce gale very quickly though.
Who is going to win the most prestigious race run in the Australasia Realm (Australian/New Zealand)? The 2022 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf winner, Victoria Road, might have as good a chance as any of them. Good Luck and enjoy the races.
Hopefully I can watch it after the fact on YouTube.
YouTube should have it Saturday morning your time. It’ll be run 2 am early Saturday morning. You could chance your hand at getting 7plus . com .au using a VPN and say you’re from Melbourne. Ha ha
I’m lucky here I can watch all the US races live from around 4 am onwards, ET, which is ok. Santa Anita is even better.
I remember the great Aussie miler Sunline winning The Cox Plate by eight lengths….
Yes, Matthew, Sunline was a great mare but she was a Kiwi champion that raced predominantly in Australia. New Zealand breeders often don’t get the accolades because their better runners inevitably race mostly in Australia after showing early promise.
Before the Melbourne Cup started having an influx of international runners the New Zealand breds dominated the race. Better stamina lines.
Sunline won two Cox Plates despite preferring one mile, won 25 of 35 and faced the best…one of my favorite all time horses and really somewhat forgotten, like the American filly Bold And Determined…..
So true, so many great names ‘vanish’ as the generations change. In your mind, your favorites stay as fresh as yesterday.
Davids, I was just in coastal MAINE, where the weather was similar! Small world, isn’t it?
Yes, Ms Blacktype, I suffer from hay fever and the wind here stopped me from going to the track which is sold out today.
Thank you for showcasing the very classy Bill Mott. Back when I was grooming horses, Bill Mot was just getting started. I saw him at the Fair Grounds. He was known as a class act and an excellent horseman. His horses always looked like a million dollars. His barn was know for the perfection he kept it in. It was known that it was not easy to get a job in his shed row. He was really picky about who put hands on his horses. I worked in the test barn for a couple of years. All his people were very professional and were really conscientious about their horses. This was early 80’s, and he didn’t have that big national presence then. But he was widely know for being a class act and running a first class shed row.
Great post Peg. Thank you
My early Breeders’ Cup picks:
Friday
BC Turf Sprint (5F), No Nay Mets
BC Juvenile Fillies (1 1/16) Tamara
BC Juvenile Fillies Turf (1 mile) She Feels Pretty
BC Juvenile (1 1/16) Muth
BC Juvenile Turf (1 mile) Endlessly
Saturday
BC Dirt Mile, Cody’s Wish
BC Filly and Mare Turf (1 1/4) Warm Heart
BC Filly and Mare Sprint (7F) Goodnight Olive
BC Mile Turf, Gina Romantica
BC Distaff (1 1/8) Idiomatic
BC Turf (1 1/2) Up to the Mark
BC Classic (1 1/4) Arcangelo
BC Turf Sprint (5F) Arzak
BC Sprint (6F) Elite Power
I would like to see others post their early BC picks.
Thanks
Hi Bill, working on my list which I hope to have together tomorrow.
Just been a lot going on here, not really had time to sit down and concentrate.
Thanks for the reply Linda. I’ll be looking forward to your list.
Correction: Lynda (not Linda). Please excuse.:)
My pre draw Breeders Cup picks…
Friday Juvenile races
Turf, No Nay Mets
Fillies, Tamara
Fillies Turf, Content
Juvenile, Fierceness
Juvenile Turf, Legend of Time
Saturday
Dirt Mile, Cody’s Wish
F & M Turf, Fev Rover
F & M Sprint, Eda
Mile, Casa Creed
Distaff, Clariere
Turf, Mostahdaf
Classic, Arcangelo
Turf Sprint, Nobals
Sprint, The Chosen Vron
STC for personal betting purposes. Out on a limb on a few picks.
The oddest first two career starts by a 2-year-old has to go to the Japanese horse Ecoro Neo. Hes run twice and stil a maiden. Career debut believe it or not was at 1 1/4 miles on the grass and he was up the track at 23-1. So they dropped him in a 6 furlong race on dirt. Just go to @AdolphsonRacing on Twitter and watch his race. Its pretty mind boggling. And he didnt win. Next stop BC Juvenile.
I was checking out pedigrees earlier today for the pre entries for the Juvenile and saw his race results.
How weird is that?
Steve, if you check out the List of JRA Graded races for 2 year olds during November, December you can follow the pattern. The races somewhat determine, quickly – ha ha, on whether they are best suited as sprinters, milers, or Classic distances.
The Grade 1 Hopeful Stakes Turf is 10f on December 28, 2023.
The JRA also has a genetic testing lab. They test most of the runners for the speed gene. Analysis of the genetics and the speed gene helps determine the distance that horse is most suitable for.
For those interested , just saw confirmation that Classic Empire has left Ashford and is now in Japan.
Rats. I saw him at Ashford four years ago. Good thing I got there when I did.
Horse of the Year is pretty wide open, I imagine….Arcangelo, if he wins, but if not?….What if Mage wins? That’s our two biggest races…..
Have to see what Cody’s Wish and Up to the Mark do. Maybe even War Like Goddess Has any horse been named Horse of the Year with 2 wins?
No….but those two races are biggies, and this year is so bereft, of big winners ….Arcangelo is the top contender, I’m not bullish about giving HOY awards to sprinters or milers, at least Wise Dan was a TURF miler, and beat the Europeans ….
Its slim pickins this year. Maybe no one will deserve it.
Steve,
So many universal truths and a sense of what is important.. yet so personal of a story.. moving and marvelous..
Thank you very much Marc. I appreciate it.
Anyone have any favorites yet in the BC races?
Up to the Mark in the Turf. I’m not impressed with the Euros, especially Auguste Rodin, he hasn’t faced the best, was aided last race by 2 barn mates and is only 3, closer gaining on him in the 10 f. race he won. King of Steel just raced, does better on soft turf, also only 3.
White Abarrio in the “classic”. If as they say the older horses are weak this year, I’ll take the strongest one, against the middling 3 yo’s, pending that he works out on Friday and his shoes fit and there’s no more fuss. Zandon isn’t as strong for the win. Age matters, my theme this year, seems like.
And to be a true east coast lackey, let me add, Skippylongstocking in the mile. Again, age matters, and he had a bullet workout today, doesn’t dislike the track at least. This is all premature, posts haven’t even been drawn.
Whoops, Skippy is still at Saratoga training.
Thanks Lynda. I’m going with the home field advantage in particular races…still deciding on which horses that are entered when more than one horse is joined by other “California” horses in a race….hoping forward to a great, healthy, fair, exciting and all around legendary two days of racing.
Safe trips back to the barn for both horses and jockeys will be the biggest winner this year regardless of which horses win.
Just do not think this sport can absorb more tragedies like we saw at CHD, Pimlico and Saratoga.
I do think home track is always an advantage.
Tamara in the Juvenile Fillies.
I’d like to see The Chosen Vron do well, in the Sprint…I don’t think he’ll win, but if he hits the board that would be great….I don’t see many west coast winners this year…Tamara is the one I think will win, and Bob has his talented two year olds, I root for the locals but this year probably won’t be betting on them….Society is a horse I’ll be playing…. Clairiere and Desert Dawn have been getting beat all year, in paceless races, they will get pace in the Distaff, and I’ll probably put some money on both….
Up to the Mark’s first preference is The Turf….after winning at one mile..
Auguste Rodin, King of Steel, Mostahdaf, among others, are very serious racehorses who are entered in the BC Turf from Europe.
I’ll be rooting for Up to the Mark, he’ll need to be up to the Mark, vs those heavy hitters!…
Matthew, all the European runners are a bit over the top by now so it’s best to watch them keenly. Mostahdaf could be the fresher of the three big guns.
I’ve noted Aidan O’Brien hasn’t mentioned Paddington at all in discussing his chances at the Breeders’ Cup so that’s interesting. If Paddington was in top form he’d trounce this field in a waltz but I’m not so sure about him here. Even so, let’s hope he does the business.
Inspiral looks a steal in the BC Filly & Mare Turf.
Steve, while reading your article of peace and serenity the song “Connecticut” by Judy Garland came to mind …”Land of dreams and moonlit streams, How close to heaven can you get?”… I see why you have moved there. Good for you.
I wish I could get more enthusiastic about the Breeders’ Cup races, and the Cox Plate/Melbourne Cup races coming up, but the horror that is evolving in the Middle East drains away the smallest thought of enjoyment.
Thanks again, Steve. Let’s hope for better days.
If I owned a Thoroughbred my go to trainer would be either Mr Mott or Mr Mandella.
They both remind me of the horsemen (and horse women) I knew growing up and later rode with for years.
There is a lot to be said for trainers who develop a good relationship with the horses they train.
Horses always respond to a caring, gentle trainer with whom they can have a mutual trust and understanding.
They’re at the top of my list too, Lynda!
I’m not that familiar with Mr. Mandella and how he relates to his horses, but Bill Mott would be in my top two also. The other one would be Barclay Tagg.
Yes, Jiffy. Barclay Tagg would also be on my list.
I would add John Shirreffs and Graham Motion.
Agree about John and Graham
I like Arcangelo in the Classic Lynda with perhaps an older horse as my 2nd pick. Arcangelo to me is a Classic type horse plus he has already won at 10 furlongs.
As far as trainers go I kinda like Linda Rice, Bill Mott or Aiden O’brien.
I hope Cody’s Wish wins but he has had a lot of tough races in his career.
Good luck, I love all your posts……….
Hi Deacon and thank you!
So agree about Aiden.
With Forte out I am hoping Arcangelo wins. My second favorite is Zandon. Geroux Rocket Ride is the third one at this point.
Just hoping and praying for safe races for all. Last thing this sport needs is the tragedies that unfolded at the Derby, the Preakness and Saratoga.
I can’t disagree with your assessments of the Classic.
Arabian Night is intriguing to me as well. He did win the Pacific Classic so he also relishes the 10 furlongs.
Last year Flightline romped in the Pacific Classic & then destroyed the competition in the BCC.
Maybe Arabian Night can accomplish the same feat. I wouldn’t just ignore this horse.
He could easily place in the exotics.
Godd luck Lynda
Thank you, Steve, for sharing your recent visit to Saratoga with us, along with all those wonderful family memories with Bill Mott. The first time I saw those houses with a catbird-view of the Oklahoma track I about lost it — I was so envious of anyone who owned one or visited there. I’ve always wanted to experience sitting out there in the chilly dawn watching the horses! Reading your description is definitely the next best thing.
I also loved the way you wove your recent visit with your friends into a wonderful reminiscense about the great Cigar and the equally great Bill Mott. I can just see Cigar standing there with his head in the back of the stall. I saw him once in person (at Suffolk Downs) and he clearly knew not only that he’d won, but that he DESERVED all the affection and adulation showered on him by the crowd around him. Bill Mott is much more modest.
If we’re ever in Saratoga at the same time let me know and you can over for coffee and sit on the porch.
Going to Saratoga would be a tremendous thrill, for me….having coffee with Steve Haskin at Rosie’s would be even better, looking at the horses and trainers with Haskin—wow!..
I’d love to take you up on that! Thanks, Steve.
Such a wonderful piece, Steve. As a fellow “old timer”, I’m so happy that you gave us this wonderful story about Bill Mott. He’s the trainer I most respect, along with D. Wayne – old-school and class all the way.
Thank you Beth.
Looking like more than 50 shipping into the Breeders Cup from overseas this year..
Nine from Japan. Europeans are loaded, will be tough.
Will you be going to Santa Anita, Steve, or watching from a distance?
I’ll be watching from Connecticut Paddy. We do have some small mountains here but that’s as close as it gets. I will miss mornings at Clockers Corner and breakfast at Rosie’s.
Nysos got a 96 Beyer, for his 10 1/2 length win, in 1:08 4/5, mewonders what time is needed, for a 110 Beyer….thought he was impressive, speed and kick….
Nine from Japan. Europeans will be tough.
The one horse I would love to see run in the BC Turf is Equinox.
He qualified but is not coming…at least that is what was reported.
Watched a brief clip of his work yesterday on the uphill woodchip track.
I thought he was going to take flight like Pegasus!
He is just gorgeous and a lovely pedigree. Sunday Silence of course and goes back to Halo both top and bottom.
Plans are for him to retire in the spring of 2024.
Lynda we didn’t get Equinox, or Ace Impact BUT….we did get some solid European stayers this year! And a Japanese horse for the Classic that could go off favored….
Hi Steve: Thanks for this article. The folks who own houses on 5th Ave in Saratoga have the greatest view in all of racing. As far as Bill is concerned, as a fellow old fogey, he is the only current trainer that I would put in the class of my top 3-Woody, The Chief and Mack Miller. He is old school all the way and he has never sacrificed his principles to put the horse first. By the way, I saw Steve Cauthen being interviewed from Ascot over the weekend and it’s hard to believe that he is 63. He will always be the 16 yo kid dominating the Inner Track to me; as like you, I took the Pioneer/Command Bus from Flatlands Ave to watch him at the Big A
I think you nailed it with those three. We might have been on the same bus. I used to get the Pioneer bus at Flatlands Ave. and East 57th Street.
Early thoughts on the BC Juvenile. Once again, it appears it will be Best in the West, versus Best in the East.
Representing the West will be Prince of Monaco, winner of the Del Mar Futurity, and Muth, winner of the American Pharoah.
Prince of Monaco, by Speightstown, out of a Medaglia D’Oro mare, rated professionally in the Best Pal Stakes and was able to chase down Muth who went too fast, too early, IMO. In the American Pharoah Stakes, Muth rated off the pace, and was able to run down the pace setter, Wine Me Up, to win going away by 3 3/4 lengths. Prince of Monaco has yet to race beyond 7 furlongs, so the 1 1/16 miles distance will his first test going long. Muth’s win in the G1 American Pharoah Stakes, drawing away by 3 3/4 lengths, in an excellent time of 1:42.45, showed he is capable of going long in an impressive fashion.
Muth, by Good Magic, out of an Uncle Mo mare, appears to have the edge relative to stamina influence, versus Prince Monaco, who’s sire was a sprinter. However, Prince of Monaco’s pedigree does reflect stamina and class on the bottom side.
That said, I would give the edge to Muth over Prince of Monaco in the BC Juvenile.
With respect to the Best in the East, Timberlake and Locked appear to be the two best colts in the East. I would give the edge to Timeberlake winner of the G1 Champagne Stakes, going a mile in 1:35.90, drawing off by 4 1/4 lengths.
Locked, winner of the G1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity, had to go all out to beat The Wine Steward by 1/2 length, in a relatively slow time of 1:45.06.
Bottom line, in addition to having the home track advantage, Muth and Prince of Monaco appear to have the class advantage as well.
All that said, Muth will be my pick in the BC Juvenile.
Safe trips to all.
How wonderful to see stars like these walking right past your back gate! And thanks for the profile of Bill Mott. I am always heartened to read about horsemen like him. He sounds like a class act as well as a great trainer.
AS “ALWAYS” YOUR THE BEST OF THE BEST (ESPECIALLY FOR US OLD TIMERS!!) THANKX SO-SO MUCH !! JOHN BOUDREAU !!
Thank you very much John. I’m just an old timer writing mainly for old timers. I cant get a younger person to come on here no matter what I try. At least I know the old timers who do show up appreciate history and back stories.
Steve, thank you for taking me to Saratoga in Autumn.
What a relaxing and calm painting you have painted with your words.
My pleasure Lynda, thank you. Glad I was able to take you there.
Hi Steve! I’m not an old timer (but not that young haha!) but I love to read all of your columns on here! You have a wonderful way to tie in the beautiful history of the past stars to the horses of today. I love getting to read the history and back stories of past amazing racehorses and their connections. I really enjoyed reading about Cigar in this column, he was one of the superstars of the sport that I loved when I was a young fan of about 10 or 11 years old! It’s cool to know how Bill Mott felt about Cigar, even in that narrow Breeders Cup defeat, I just love that! As well as how he can keep his horses running soundly until 5, 6, 7 and 9 years old, that is fantastic to see that type of longevity especially in this day and age. He has a wonderful slew of horses going to the Breeders Cup, that’s for sure. That is awesome you were able to see them in Saratoga before they head west. I also loved to hear about his great, positive attitude despite it taking awhile to win a Triple Crown race. Bill Mott is truly a great example and ambassador for this sport, as are you Steve! Horse racing fans are very lucky to have the gift of your writings!
I really appreciate that, Kristen. Thank you very much. If you were 10 or 11 at the time of Cigar you are indeed young and a rarity when it comes to commenting on my columns. For that I thank you as well.
Having spent quite a few uncomfortably hot august days at Saratoga, i’ve thought “if only they ran here in the fall.” Sounds like Steve got the next best thing. I know there are reasons for running the Breeders’ Cup in warm weather venues, but i’ve always found something missing those years. Big fall events like the World Series and Breeders’ Cup just feel bigger in crisp weather.
Yes, Todd, I prefer the crisp weather for racing as well. They are predicting around 70f for the Breeders’ Cup days thus far which isn’t too hot + no humidity is a bonus.
Thank you, Steve. Visiting the Oklahoma track this time of year is particularly magical. The leaves, the quiet, smiling ERs and of course the beautiful horses doing what they do best.
Elite Power and Caramel Swirl—look like live shooters this year, to me ….I’m not bullish on Cody’s Wish going two turns and breaking like Zenyatta….
How cool to experience Saratoga during Breeders Cup prep. I hope the cool air puts an extra spring in their step that carries over to Santa Anita. One correction, I believe you are referring to the 1999 Belmont Stakes. Commendable won in 2000.
Yes, I meant 1999. I changed it. Thanks
As always, I enjoyed your blog, Steve! Thank you!
How do you not love a trainer who has these “old timers” in his barn? I admit to shedding a tear when hearing Channel Maker was retired, but knew the right call was made.
I envy you seeing this group before they head west Wednesday. Hope they run well and come home safely.